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Southeast Asia

Philippines Central Bank Chief Warns Asia on Crisis Risks

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Eli Remolona Jr. urged Asian nations to learn from the 1997 financial crisis at the IMF/World Bank meetings in Bangkok on 14 October.

By Arjun PillaiPublished 15 October 20262 min read
Photo: Shaira Torlao / Unsplash

Remolona's Warning on Capital Inflows

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Eli Remolona Jr. cautioned Asian economies against repeating the financial shocks of the late 1990s. Speaking at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank's 2026 Annual Meetings in Bangkok on 14 October, Governor Remolona reminded attendees about the significant capital inflows that preceded the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

He emphasised the need for vigilance, stating that the region has not sufficiently focused on preventing such crises, despite the World Bank once calling the pre-crisis growth an "East Asian miracle".

IMF and Japan on Regional Vulnerabilities

Krishna Srinivasan, Director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific Department, countered that the IMF has enhanced its framework for assessing financial vulnerabilities and managing volatile capital flows, including foreign exchange market interventions.

Meanwhile, Japan's Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs, Atsushi Mimura, highlighted energy shocks from Middle East conflicts and rising inflation as immediate risks to Asia's economic outlook. Mimura also advocated for "targeted, tailored, and temporary" fiscal support to mitigate the impact of energy price increases on households and businesses.

Call for Investment in Supply Chains and AI

Mimura further urged ASEAN member states to strengthen investment, particularly in critical minerals and energy, to diversify supply chains. He noted Japan's willingness to support this initiative. Additionally, Mimura stressed the importance for all ASEAN countries to invest in artificial intelligence (AI) and innovation to maintain competitiveness.

He pointed out ASEAN's strong position in the digitalisation supply chain due to its production of critical minerals. The ASEAN bloc includes 11 members, such as Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.

Why it matters

Asian businesses and policymakers face renewed calls to scrutinise capital flows and energy dependencies. Governor Remolona's warning suggests that while investment is crucial, unchecked inflows could destabilise economies, prompting central banks to consider tighter capital controls or more proactive foreign exchange management.

Japan's emphasis on diversifying critical mineral and energy supply chains indicates potential for increased foreign direct investment (FDI) into ASEAN nations, particularly those aligning with global efforts to secure these resources.

Companies operating in the region should anticipate continued focus on energy resilience and technological advancement to mitigate cost pressures and enhance long-term competitiveness.

This article is journalism, not investment advice; consult a licensed professional before making financial decisions. Market data is indicative, may be delayed, and should be verified with your broker or exchange before use.

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